Since early March, gold has been
selling at a discount in Dubai is up to about $30 per ounce below the global benchmark set by the London Bullion Market Association Gold Price.
The decline is linked to the escalation of the regional conflict, the war between the United States / Israel and Iran that began in late February 2026.
Logistics have been disrupted: flight cancellations, higher insurance costs, and elevated delivery risks. As a result, physical gold has effectively become “stuck” in Dubai, one of the world’s major bullion trading hubs. Traders are reluctant to keep paying for storage and financing, so they lower prices in order to sell faster.
The global gold price (LBMA/spot) on March 12–13 fluctuated around $5,160–5,230 per ounce. Some sources showed roughly $5,182 on the evening of March 12, with a daily decline of about 0.67%, after an earlier peak near $5,277 at the beginning of March. A $30 discount represents roughly 0.6% of the current price.
I have said many times that, in my view, moving large amounts of gold out of a country can become difficult if something serious begins to unfold there. In that sense, precious stones for example tsavorite, spessartine, laguna and paraiba tourmalines, tanzanite, demantoid, alexandrite, coloured diamonds, and others are more mobile. They are easier and cheaper to transport because the value-to-weight ratio is far higher, export regulations tend to be less restrictive, and they are less dependent on bulk bullion logistics.
A 100-gram gold bar (about 3.2 ounces) costs roughly $16,600–16,800. To hold $1 million in gold requires about six kilograms of metal is already a noticeable volume, roughly the size of a large coffee jar, and not easy to move discreetly.
A high-quality five-carat diamond can easily cost $50,000–150,000 or more.
A ten-carat exceptional diamond may weigh only about two grams yet be worth $300,000 to $1 million or more.
One million dollars in diamonds could be just 5–20 carats in two to four stones. Their total weight might be one to four grams. They fit into a matchbox or even into a seam of clothing.
Many members of the Russian aristocracy and the Romanov family did precisely this in 1917: they moved gemstones rather than gold bars.
As a historical note: in 1917 a friend of Grand Duchess Maria Pavlovna is the aunt of Nicholas II, the British art dealer and diplomat Albert Stopford managed to take 244 pieces of jewellery out of Russia, including diamonds, sapphires, and emeralds. Stones were dismantled, wrapped in newspaper, and hidden. Many later appeared at auctions. Sotheby’s sold a sapphire and diamond brooch and earrings in 2021 for hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Only a small number of investors pay attention to rare gemstones.
Another promising direction lies in exploration, development, and mining of precious stones. There are virtually no major public companies focused specifically on coloured gemstones. These stones are usually mined by private firms because exploration is extremely expensive, risky, and rarely attracts venture capital in the typical startup format.
Artificial intelligence could radically change the exploration chain in coloured gemstone mining.
Today AI-driven mineral exploration, companies like Earth AI and Exodigo — focuses mainly on critical minerals rather than gemstones because the immediate ROI is higher. Combined with limited supply, this contributes to rising prices for certain stones, some increasing almost geometrically.
Paraiba tourmaline prices, for example, moved from hundreds of dollars per carat to around $2,000 per carat in the 2010s and reached roughly $50,000–$300,000+ per carat by March 2026. Growth in 2025–2026 has been around 30–50% year-over-year.
The sequence is simple: first technology (AI, satellites, drones, machine learning on large geological datasets), then new deposits, then scalable extraction.
This could realistically happen within the next five to ten years, especially if demand for rare coloured stones, both investment-grade and jewellery continues to grow. It likely will.
Beyond gold and gemstones, the development of AI is also increasing demand for copper, silver, platinum, palladium, lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements. Demand for these materials continues to expand, and prices tend to follow.
We know one thing: a real investor always takes risks.
Risk assessment, discussion of ideas, and decision-making can be done together with me.